← All forecasts · September 28 – October 2

MKC / FQ3 2026 - Aug 2026

McCormick & Company, Incorporated

Reported: Oct 1, 2026

Forecast published

GPT Sol 6 High in Shortcut

Revised forecast · Replaced the original Sep 28 forecast

Shortcut

0.75

Normalized diluted EPS

-1.5% vs Street

Off by $0.11 per share

Street

0.76

Normalized diluted EPS

September 24 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.10 per share

Real

0.86

Normalized diluted EPS

Street win

Reported result · Oct 1 ↗

USD per diluted share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Open in Shortcut ↗Download XLSX ↓

Shortcut’s reasoning.

September 24 consensus data normalized consensus $0.76 (11 contributor estimates) and revenue $1,978.62m anchor the projection; September 28 syndicated Street segment forecasts imply approximately $1,975m sales.

The September 9 management conference flagged improved herb and condiment consumption but a softer US customer backdrop, recipe-mix pressure and roughly flat Flavor Solutions volumes; FY2026 outlook remained intact.

Consumer $1,178.8m plus Flavor Solutions $796.1m yields $1,974.9m; price, Mexico consolidation and currency partly offset forecast US Consumer volume weakness.

June Q2 benefited from a $28m IEEPA tariff refund not repeated in this forecast; modeled gross margin 38.53%, operating special charges $17m, $2m financing adjustments and a 24% tax rate yield normalized earnings $201.8m.

Four strict normalized EPS beats in six supplied history rows imply a regularized 73.14% starting beat probability; weaker September business commentary and negative recent estimate revision temper final probability to 66%.

On the record.

Reporting period
FQ3 2026 - Aug 2026
Reporting basis
Normalized diluted EPS
Consensus snapshot
September 24, 2026
Model / effort
GPT Sol 6 · High effort
Workbook
Reviewed workbook
Forecast history
Original September 28 forecast ↗
Record history
Forecast generated
Sep 29, 2026 at 12:16 PM PDT
First published
Sep 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM PDT
Forecast summary
  • The revised model estimates normalized diluted EPS of $0.75, compared with the frozen September 24 Street estimate of $0.76.
  • The revised research considers company size, index membership and prior earnings history before weighing quarter-specific evidence. Historical beat rates are a starting assumption, not a mechanical increase to EPS.
How this result is scored

The Street baseline: consensus snapshot, September 24, 2026. Results are scored only after the earnings basis is matched. Read the methodology.