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COF / Q3 2026

Capital One Financial Corporation

Reported: Oct 20, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

5.63

Normalized diluted EPS

+2.5% vs Street

Off by $1.06 per share

Street

5.50

Normalized diluted EPS

October 18 consensus snapshot

Off by $1.19 per share

Real

6.69

Issuer adjusted diluted EPS

Shortcut win

Reported result · Oct 20 ↗ · Adjusted EPS excludes the issuer’s disclosed adjusting items; GAAP diluted EPS was $5.61.

USD per diluted common share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

The forecast combines the Credit Card, Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking builds for net interest income, non-interest revenue, credit provisions and operating expenses. Consolidated net interest income equals the segment forecast through a residual allocation; the consolidated interest-rate lines are not an independent revenue forecast.

The model bridges GAAP net income available to common shareholders of $2,771.736 million to adjusted net income of $3,426.846 million by adding $870 million of adjustments and a negative $214.890 million tax effect.

Dividing adjusted net income of $3,426.84628778907 million by 608.15 million diluted shares gives adjusted diluted EPS of 5.634870159975451, versus the frozen Street estimate of $5.50.

The complete public export preserves all 188 cells in the scored EPS dependency chain. The separate 67.14% beat probability is a heuristic and does not multiply forecast EPS. The tracked cash-flow forecast has a narrower definition than issuer historical operating cash flow and is not scored.

On the record.

Reporting period
Q3 2026
Reporting basis
adjusted normalized diluted EPS to common
Consensus snapshot
October 18, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Reviewed workbook
Record history
Forecast generated
Oct 19, 2026 at 2:55 PM PDT
First published
Oct 19, 2026 at 5:01 PM PDT
Research sources