← All forecasts · October 19–23

GM / Q3 2026

General Motors Company

Reported: Oct 20, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

3.70

Normalized diluted EPS

+1.9% vs Street

Off by less than $0.01 per share

Street

3.63

Normalized diluted EPS

October 18 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.07 per share

Real

3.70

Issuer EPS-diluted-adjusted

Shortcut win

Reported result · Oct 20 ↗ · Issuer supplemental reconciliation reports EPS-diluted-adjusted $3.70 versus GAAP diluted EPS $3.73.

USD per diluted General Motors common share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

The segment build gives EBIT-adjusted of $4.015bn: GM North America $3.454bn, GM International $0.172bn and GM Financial $0.650bn, less $0.260bn of corporate costs.

The North America bridge includes a $765m year-over-year warranty benefit, pricing, regulatory savings and lower EV losses, offset by tariffs, manufacturing and commodity costs. The warranty allocation to North America is uncertain.

After interest, other income, tax and common-share adjustments, normalized net income is $3.264bn. The share model assumes $1.5bn of repurchases at $78, half-quarter weighting, 1m issuance and 14m dilution.

Normalized EPS is 3.697563976105113 on 882.8361563846154m diluted shares, versus frozen Street EPS of 3.63. The narrow difference is sensitive to the share-count method; the probability judgment is separate and does not multiply EPS.

On the record.

Reporting period
Q3 2026
Reporting basis
Issuer EPS-diluted-adjusted / consensus normalized EPS
Consensus snapshot
October 18, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Reviewed workbook
Record history
Forecast generated
Oct 19, 2026 at 10:49 AM PDT
First published
Oct 19, 2026 at 12:09 PM PDT
Research sources