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IBM / Q3 2026

International Business Machines Corporation

Reported: Oct 21, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

2.85

GAAP diluted EPS

-0.6% vs Street

Off by $0.10 per share

Street

2.87

GAAP diluted EPS

October 18 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.08 per share

Real

2.95

Issuer operating non-GAAP diluted EPS

Street win

Reported result · Oct 21 ↗ · Operating non-GAAP diluted EPS was $2.95; GAAP diluted EPS from continuing operations was $2.31.

USD per diluted IBM common share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

The revenue build gives $16.851bn: Software $7.634bn, Consulting $5.395bn, Infrastructure $3.588bn, Financing $0.189bn and Other $45m.

Segment gross-margin assumptions are 82.6% for Software, 29.8% for Consulting, 55.0% for Infrastructure and 43.0% for Financing. The consolidated gross-profit bridge includes $290m of acquired-intangible amortization and a separate $70m non-amortization residual.

The model estimates operating pre-tax income of $3.203bn and applies a 15% operating tax rate, giving operating net income of $2.723bn on 954m diluted shares.

Operating diluted EPS is 2.853826135076559 versus frozen normalized Street EPS of 2.87. The corporate/other allocation and FX assumptions remain material judgments; the beat probability is separate and never multiplies EPS.

On the record.

Reporting period
Q3 2026
Reporting basis
Issuer operating non-GAAP diluted EPS / consensus normalized EPS
Consensus snapshot
October 18, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Reviewed workbook
Record history
Forecast generated
Oct 19, 2026 at 10:50 AM PDT
First published
Oct 19, 2026 at 12:29 PM PDT
Research sources