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UAL / Q3 2026

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

Reported: Oct 20, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

2.69

Normalized diluted EPS

+4.0% vs Street

Off by $0.15 per share

Street

2.59

Normalized diluted EPS

October 18 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.05 per share

Real

2.54

Issuer adjusted diluted EPS

Street win

Reported result · Oct 20 ↗ · Issuer adjusted EPS excludes special charges and credits, unrealized investment gains/losses and the related tax effects; GAAP diluted EPS was $3.14.

USD per diluted common share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

The geography and traffic build estimates passenger revenue of $16,298.29m. Cargo contributes $523.84m and other revenue $1,083.95m, giving total revenue of $17,906.08m.

Operating expenses of $16,545.71m produce operating income of $1,360.37m. Net nonoperating expense of $118m gives GAAP pre-tax income of $1,242.37m; removing a $100m special credit gives adjusted pre-tax income of $1,142.37m.

A 23% adjusted tax rate produces adjusted net income of $879.6227137974588m. Dividing by 326.59999999999997m diluted shares gives adjusted EPS of 2.693272240653579, versus frozen normalized Street EPS of $2.59. The 75% beat probability is separate and does not multiply EPS.

The original forecast EPS was 2.747818915818373. A reviewed profit-sharing method change increased the expense from $128.01806568067346m to $151.15435673109437m. The $23.13629105042091m increase, after 23% tax and divided by diluted shares, explains the entire $0.05454667516479361 EPS reduction. The method interprets the higher tier cumulatively; that plan-period interpretation and the implied first-half base remain a disclosed limitation. The second repair and exact public export preserve all 140 scored EPS dependency cells.

On the record.

Reporting period
Q3 2026
Reporting basis
UAL adjusted diluted EPS, consensus normalized basis
Consensus snapshot
October 18, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Reviewed workbook
Record history
Forecast generated
Oct 19, 2026 at 1:47 PM PDT
First published
Oct 19, 2026 at 2:20 PM PDT
Research sources