← All forecasts · October 26–30

CVNA / Q3 2026 (FQ3 2026 - Sep 2026; quarter ended 2026-09-30, fiscal year ends Dec-31)

Carvana Co.

Reported: Oct 28, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

0.43

Normalized diluted EPS

-9.5% vs Street

Off by $0.04 per share

Street

0.47

Normalized diluted EPS

October 25 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.08 per share

Real

0.39

Provider normalized diluted EPS

Shortcut win

Reported result · Oct 28 ↗ · Carvana reports Q3 GAAP diluted net earnings per Class A share $0.39, versus $0.40 basic, for September 30,2026.

USD per diluted ClassA common share, original5:1 split basis. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

Units 213k (+37% y/y): guidance = sequential increase; Jefferies web scrape ~39% Q3 growth, Street 206.9k-210.3k, prediction market ~217k

Revenue $7.72bn: mgmt said Q3 revenue growth should be more in line with unit growth; ASP $26,950 (+5% y/y) as mix normalises; other GPU $2,600 on benchmark-rate pressure

Adj. EBITDA $800m (Street ~$791m) with retail GPU $3,420 and SG&A $739m (higher advertising)

On the record.

Reporting period
Q3 2026 (FQ3 2026 - Sep 2026; quarter ended 2026-09-30, fiscal year ends Dec-31)
Reporting basis
Frozen consensus normalized diluted Class A common EPS, USD, original5:1 split basis. Model normalized equals GAAP, supported by six historical issuer matches; future actual basis verified separately.
Consensus snapshot
October 25, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Reviewed workbook
Record history
Forecast generated
Oct 27, 2026 at 4:33 AM PDT
Original author completed
Oct 27, 2026 at 3:51 AM PDT
Reviewed revision completed
Oct 27, 2026 at 4:33 AM PDT
First published
Oct 27, 2026 at 11:06 AM PDT
Result basis

Carvana reports Q3 GAAP diluted net earnings per Class A share $0.39, versus $0.40 basic, for September 30,2026. Separately, the direct Google Finance Q3 panel and previous-report table explicitly display Normalized EPS $0.39; all six frozen historical normalized actuals match the displayed series. The original 5-for -1 split basis is retained without another conversion. Current provider consensus $0.48 does not replace frozen Street $0.47. Item-level normalization is unavailable; the current provider actual remains on revision watch.