← All forecasts · November 2–6

AAPL / FQ4 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-26)

Apple Inc.

Reported: Nov 2, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Review incomplete · First posted after earnings

Shortcut

2.00

Normalized diluted EPS

+0.6% vs Street

Off by $0.10 per share

Street

1.99

Normalized diluted EPS

November 1 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.11 per share

Real

2.10

Reported normalized EPS

Shortcut win

Reported result · Nov 2 ↗ · Provider normalized EPS 2.10 agrees with issuer diluted EPS 2.10, including tariff refunds.

USD per diluted ordinary/common share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast. This is the agent’s original workbook. Its review didn’t finish, so it hasn’t been checked or repaired.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

Guidance (2026-07-30): revenue +9-11% Y/Y, GM 47-48% incl ~1pt tariff refunds, OpEx $19.1-19.4bn, OI&E ~$350m, tax ~16.5%; midpoints imply ~$1.98 EPS.

Revenue $113.4bn (+10.7%): iPhone $56.4bn (+15%, mid-teens guide) from IDC 57.3m units x $985 ASP (+$100 list pricing, Pro-only launch); Services $31.5bn (+9.6%, June rate less 2.5pt FX); Mac $9.3bn on IDC 5.9m units with June price increases.

GM 47.6% (slightly above 47.5% midpoint): Apple landed at/above the top of GM guidance in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but memory costs and supply constraints rose sequentially.

OpEx $19.3bn near the upper half of guide (Apple has run at/above the top end); OI&E $350m; tax 16.5%; diluted shares 14,637m after ~$22bn buybacks.

EPS $2.00 vs frozen consensus $1.99: P(beat) starts at 0.87 from size/history prior (6/6 beats) and is cut to 0.72 for the thin model margin, rising memory costs and BofA $1.97.

On the record.

Reporting period
FQ4 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-26)
Reporting basis
normalized EPS diluted per ordinary/common share, USD (equals GAAP diluted for Apple)
Consensus snapshot
November 1, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Original workbook · review incomplete
Record history
Forecast generated
Nov 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM PST
First posted
Nov 2, 2026 at 3:21 PM PST
Result checked
Nov 2, 2026 at 5:12 PM PST
Result basis

Provider normalized EPS 2.10 agrees with issuer diluted EPS 2.10, including tariff refunds. The 0.05benefit is not removed from the literal provider figure.