← All forecasts · November 2–6

QCOM / FQ4 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-27)

QUALCOMM Incorporated

Reported: Nov 4, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Review incomplete

Shortcut

2.16

Normalized diluted EPS

-0.1% vs Street

Off by $0.01 per share

Street

2.16

Normalized diluted EPS

November 1 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.01 per share

Real

2.17

Reported normalized EPS

Street win

Reported result · Nov 4 ↗ · Provider normalized EPS 2.17 USD matches issuer non-GAAP diluted common-share EPS 2.17 for the fiscal fourth quarter ended September 27, 2026, distinct from GAAP diluted EPS 1.17.

USD per diluted ordinary/common share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast. This is the agent’s original workbook. Its review didn’t finish, so it hasn’t been checked or repaired.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

Guidance (2026-07-29): revenue $9.7-10.5B, non-GAAP EPS $2.05-2.25 (mid $2.15), QCT $8.4-9.0B at 23-25% EBT margin, QTL $1.2-1.4B at 68-72%, handsets ~$5.2B, auto ~+60% y/y, IoT ~flat, non-GAAP opex ~$2.7B.

Driver build: handsets $5.20B (IDC CQ3-26 255.3m units x $20.37), auto $1.71B (+62%: $245m volume + $412m mix/ASP), IoT $1.81B, QTL $1.29B (255.3m x $5.05), Data Center/QGOV $0.16B => revenue $10.17B vs consensus $10.15B.

Margins: non-GAAP gross margin 53.4% (3Q26 54.0%; input-cost inflation with lagged price increases), opex $2.70B, 12.5% fixed non-GAAP tax rate => non-GAAP net income $2.31B.

Shares ~1,073m diluted (1,057m at 3Q26 + 14m unrestricted Modular shares from 2026-07-28 less ~$2.0B buyback) => non-GAAP EPS $2.157, essentially at consensus $2.16; GAAP EPS $1.33 after SBC ($0.72) and other items ($0.11).

Quarter evidence is mixed: IDC CQ3-26 smartphone units -22% y/y and Chinese OEMs ~-30% (negative) vs MediaTek mobile -1% q/q and QCOM at/above its EPS guide midpoint for 7 straight quarters; P(beat) 55% after a 0.80 size/history prior.

On the record.

Reporting period
FQ4 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-27)
Reporting basis
Non-GAAP (normalized EPS) diluted EPS, USD per diluted common share
Consensus snapshot
November 1, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Original workbook · review incomplete
Record history
Forecast generated
Nov 1, 2026 at 11:05 PM PST
First posted
Nov 2, 2026 at 4:10 PM PST
Result checked
Nov 4, 2026 at 2:36 PM PST
Result basis

Provider normalized EPS 2.17 USD matches issuer non-GAAP diluted common-share EPS 2.17 for the fiscal fourth quarter ended September 27, 2026, distinct from GAAP diluted EPS 1.17. All six frozen normalized histories match exactly. The issuer reconciliation reports non-GAAP net income of 2,332 million USD and 1,073 million diluted shares; rounded components are not forced to reproduce printed EPS. Item-by-item vendor adjustment identity and financial model acceptance are not established.